the organization figures the u.s. economy will grow 2.1%, driven by housing and construction, but with corporate profit growth slowing down. nayantara hensel is the chairman of the national association for business economics. not bad, moderate, stable but certainly not robust here s it? >> no, that's absolutely right, tom. basically again we're forecasting annual average real gdp growth at 2.1% but the good news is we expect it to accelerate during the course of the year, perhaps reach being 3% by the fourth quarter of 2014. >> tom: what is going to add to that growth considering, is it being held back in the first six months because of the uncertainty over the fiscal cliff? >> absolutely. in fact, if you take a look at the panelist forecast on a quarterly basis they suggest real gdp growth will be 1.8% in the first quarter of 2013 but will jump by the second quarter of 2013 to about 2.4%. i think some of that is definitely being held back by a lot of the concerns that resolution is important of the tax and the spendi